Saturday, February 23, 2008

India Global Tiger by 2020




Two decades ago, few people would have thought that ordinary Computer user might want a powerful search engine. But that’s What Google gave Customers – something most people had no idea they wanted. However, once it was in existence, the product become virtually indispensable. The ability to take a leap of imagination is an elusive area. Yet, if one organization, country, individual doesn’t do it, someone else probably will, and change the rules of the game. As Alvin Toffler said “The illiterates of the 21st Century will not be those who cannot read and write, but those who cannot learn, unlearn, and relearn.

Similarly, every Country needs a vision statement which Stirs the imagination and motivate all segments of Society to greater effort. It is an essential step in building a Consensus on a broad notional development strategy, which encompasses, inter–alia, the roles and responsibilities of different agents in the economy, Such as Central, state and local government, the private Corporate Sector, the small and tiny sector, people’s organisation etc. It must identify the potential risks and bottlenecks and their possible solutions in order to mobilise efforts in a focused manner. It is clear, therefore, that to meet these objectives, a vision statement has to operate of several levels of generality and specificity.

A Combination of Sustained high economic growth, expanding military capabilities, and large population will be at the root of the expected rise in economics and political power for India.As it has a force of 540 million youth below the age of 25 years and every youth must have Confidence that “I can do it This determination alone could make India a developed Country.
Education of Women is key to small family and to bring down population growth rate to one for thousand.

The Country is surplus in food grains with production of 200 million tones, but it had to be increased to 400 million tones by 2020.

By Interlinking Rivers we can divert the water from Surplus rivers to deficit rivers .As I come from a flood effected area i.e from Darbhanga (Bihar) and am currently staying in Delhi which has a shortage of water in both the case there is a threat. therefore by interconnecting river it would not only control floods and drought but also provide water for irrigation, drinking and hydro power projects and generate millions of Employment across the Country.

GDP growth rate should be increased from Six percent to minimum 10 per cent and sustained for a decade to bring 260 million people living below poverty lime, out of poverty.
In orders to achieve this 20 per cent should come from value addition in agriculture, 30 percent from Industry and the remaining 50 per cent from information technology, Biotechnology, BPO and communication sector. Software and hardware development has wide scope for innovations.

By 2020, interactive multimedia will evolve into participative media-entertainment experience designed by consumers. Today we have ‘video on demand’ where you can order any movie you want from you cable or satellite Company. By 2020, this idea will have evolved to multi sensory, ‘experience-on-demand. We will be able to act out any fantasy in any place, and any time of our choosing we will be able to walk on the Great Wall of China, with sights, sounds, even smells that will create multi sensory experience. Interactive games will become so real that the distinction between virtual reality and actual reality will become blurred. We may even be able to insert ourselves into a move and arrange the script to produce the emotions we would like.

The classroom in 2020 will be global, virtual and personalized. We will learn biology from the perspective of the ant, learn oceanography by diving deep below a virtual ocean. Surgeons will learn Surgery by performing remote surgery on virtual patients, just as pilots today learn to fly on simulators. Opportunities are endless.

By 2020, the world GDP may exceed by $50 trillion with more than $35 trillion coming from services. If India grabs 3 per cent of this global service pie, touching a trillion dollars in this segment is a potential reality. Interesting, if India continues to grow at about 31 per cent in export of IT and BPO, then in itself would yield a trillion dollars for the country by 2020.

Biotechnology
India, like the rest of the would, recognizes biotechnology as the next big economic opportunity in the knowledge sector as India’s chemical engineering skill make us potential world leaders in biotech equipment. India’s global biotech ambitions look achievable given the human pools as powerful as those of Iceland coupled with country’s vast disease diversity, this provides an unparalleled research opportunity for generating new medical wisdom.

Added to this is India’s Inherent knowledge base of Ayurvedic and Unani Medicine. By 2010, India should be in place as a strong bio partner for global companies.
If the world’s burden of disease is to be diminished, it needs science that is both good and cost effective. India has the potential to deliver on science that is both

Accelerating Urbanisation
Urbanisation is an irreversible trend that has been creeping up on us. India’s population, which was 300 million and 15 per cent Urbanised in 1947, will be 1.5 billion and 50 percent Urbanised over the next few decades. Upgrading 400 towns and cities will be far more feasible than that of upgrading 6,00,000 villages.

The first important benefit of having more cities and towns is that it will enhance the rate of economic growth. Our cities will be brands, competing with other Cities around the world for Investment. They are our engines of growth. The key to fulfilling our vision therefore, is to see Urbanisation not as a problem, but as an opportunity.

Europe was poor Compared to Asia till 16th Century; but became wealthy 300 years later
Japan began its race for prosperity from Meiji retoration of 1865 and Joined OECD, the rich nation club in 1965 about 100 years later.
South Korea was devasted by war till the early ‘50S, but Joined OECD about 50 years later.
It’s possible that china can make it by 2023, 45 years after Deng xiaoping decided it was good to be rich.
If India stays on Course, is there a reason why we cant be global power by 2020 and Join OECD by 2026, 40 years after Rajiv Gandhi’s first reformist policies kicked in?
I am pretty sure that the answer to the next question by the drivers of generation next will be a big no.
6% of world GDP
21% of world population
Do you believe these proportions will remain constant?

As someone has rightly said “If the planet is to survive, then India must become the world’s laboratory where innovative solution are developed to combat communalism, poverty, urban chaos and environmental degradation. India, therefore, is condemned to creativity”.





This is not a pipe dream. We together can make the best acknowledge us one of the best.

Sunday, February 3, 2008

GLOBALISATION AND ITS IMPACT ON COMMON MAN


Since time immemorial growth has been the crux of business. The impact of Globalisation has been studied extensively. An informal estimate is that more than 500 books and close to 12,000 papers on this subject have been published in between 2005-2007 in the US alone. Thoms Friedman's 'Lexus' and Oliver Tree have praised it but John Gary's 'False Dawn'; the delusion of global capitalism has criticised the globalisation.
We have been once bitten, thus we need to be twice shy, The French, Dutch, Portuguese and the East India Company had all come with ostensible design of trading and ended up colonizing the sub-continent. History also tells us that politics and economics cannot be kept apart. Colonialism, Imperialism etc are just the display of that will to plunder and dominate by the West. In fact, the movers and shakers are indeed ruling the roost and common man has systematically been evicted from crucial public spaces. The so-called scholars of our country who are making policy for the poor keep it in mind how they are themselves benefited from it.
We have also seen that the globalisation has not treated the have and have-nots equally. Whether it is the poorest countries of Africa, the mixed economy of India, the Oil rich Middle East or the countries whose economy depends on agriculture all have been adversely affected by the trade. The panacea prescribed by the West for all these countries is globalisation or privatisation. Nevertheless a large part of the world remains chronically underdeveloped where as the already prosperous are suffering from the consequences of over production and over consumption ironically. The income gap between the richest and poorest of the world's population stood at 3:1 in 1820,11:1 in 1930's in 1970, 60:1 in 1990 and in the year 2000, 86:1 (UNDP'S human Development Report).
Close to 2.5 to 3 billion people live on less than Rs.100 a day and 1.2 billion people live in absolute poverty by far the most of them in the third world. Result? The developed nations are suffering from obesity and the poor countries from malnutrition paradoxically.
The ecology too has not been spared. The mad rush for economic growth for which the industry has gone on in mindless fashion has forgotten the formula for stopping. Resulting the unforeseen costs of growth-environmental degradation and ecological imbalance, etc. making it a questionable strategy.
In the hurry to globalise we have no doubt created many wealth creator. Creating wealth in an unethical manner no long seems wrong. The concern of common man in the street, its basic requirements and aspiration have all disappeared in thin air. Art and Literature is losing its importance. Creativity seems to be confined in creating wealth. Fair is foul and foul is fair seems the paradox of our decade. The finer values are withering away; the vision of a universal human family is vanishing. They seem to be echoing sound's orders in Major Barbara; 'I am a millionaire. That is my religion.
According to a World Bank Report it will take 130 years to eradicate poverty from the face of earth. It is a matter of doubt whether these supporters of globalisation who have vested interest in supporting it ever find a place in heaven but the planet earth looks haven to them and they seem to be in no trouble for a long time to come.

Real story from Bihar Election " BUDDHU SINGH "


" Mukhiya of Sodhiyari, Ranvir Singh is dead. He was killed by his own trusted follower named Buddhu Singh," reads the newspaper. It is horribly good news for the people of Sodhiyari Panchayat an out skirt place in the district of Darbhanga (Bihar). Why? -------------------
Once in the summer of 2001 I happened to be in a very unpleasant and inconvenient position. I can vividly remember I was a polling officer at booth no. 140 in Sodhiyari panchayat of Darbhanga district. We were a team of four persons. As it was my first election duty, I was told that conducting Panchayat Election especially in Bihar was a very onerous task.
That fateful day Election started off very well. Along with our four men team we had four policemen with guns to keep things in order.
Without any food or water we worked in tandem from 6.45 a.m. to 1.00p.m.. I never fell hungry or thirsty in fact the pressure of the voter's never gave time to feel it. By1.00p.m. approximately 40% of the voting was completed. As the countryside is usually without the facility of restaurant or other eating-place we remained without food. Thankfully, at around 1.30 p.m. some home made foodstuff was sent to all of us by some local folks. So we took an unofficial break and had our launch without paying for it.
Suddenly when we just resumed work, we heard a loud explosion of Bomb, which exploded at a distance of about 100 meters. There was panic hence fourth and I started feeling butterfly in my stomach. There was chaos everywhere. A Senior police officer who was along with us asked us to stop issuing any ballot paper. He further asked the voters to leave the polling booth.
After fifteen minutes, I saw seven men coming towards the polling booth. Some of the voters on leaving the place raised eyebrows, as they doubted the police role and thought it all fishy. I even heard one say, " Now Buddhu Singh has come, he will not only allow us to vote but also capture the booth."
A short, dark and ordinary looking man whom his friend called Buddhu Singh come inside the no entry room. He gently withdrew three Bombs from his 'Kurta' and kept them on the floor. Then he smiled at us. It was a pretty awful sight. I had never before been so close to such a thing as that. I was literally stunned.
The whole election was taken into ransom by the man name Buddhu. A name that suggested he was foolish but perhaps his parents were aware of its ironical implications because the man really made fools of all voters. Infact, he was virtually a daredevil.
Then after sitting on the floor he kindly requested our presiding officers to hand him the entire remaining ballot papers. He said he was a man of Ranvir Singh and had no intention of harming the Government servant. He further said, " As you are following the order of your Government. I am also doing the same, following orders.
Our presiding officer Mr. Jairam willy-nilly handed around 390 ballot papers to him. He however, on his own, requested to returned 90 of them back as he feared that election could be annulled in case voting figured exceeded ninety percent. Finally, the colourful and knowledgeable Buddhu Singh returned forty-five ballots to the presiding officer. He executed his work very skilfully and briskly and by quarter past three he, slipped back along with those three weapons of destruction from there.
When he left the place our presiding officer asked us to complete the paper work. We helped him fill all those papers, e.g. exact figures of male and female voters and their percentage.
Finally, our Presiding Officer signed, all the relevant papers, including certifying that voting took place in a peaceful manner and eventually submitted the same along with the ballot box to the authorised person.